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Research
RETAIL AND E-COMMERCE MARKETS in RUSSIA. Results of 9 months of 2021. Forecast up to 2026
Release date: 23.12.2021
Languages: Russian, English
Number of pages: 36
Format: PDF
Structure of the research

In research «RETAIL AND E-COMMERCE MARKETS in RUSSIA. Results of 9 months of 2021. Forecast up to 2026» INFOLine specialists provided a forecast for the development of the Russian e-commerce market until 2025, identified the key drivers of its development, assessed the impact of the coronavirus pandemic on the emergence of new consumer habits, and conducted a comparative analysis of the largest players in the Russian e-commerce market.

As of 9 months of 2021, Russian e-commerce market continues to grow: market size was ₽1.6 trillion, e-commerce penetration level was 14,5%, however, with the support of strong macroeconomic and telecommunication fundamentals and under influence of key drivers it will grow up to ₽13.3 trillion in 2026 (e-commerce penetration level will reach 24,5%).

Main drivers of future growth of Russian e-commerce market are generational shift, investment in fulfillment and logistics infrastructure by e-commerce businesses, development of e-commerce in the Russian regions, growing popularity of online payments and increasing level of consumer trust to domestic e-commerce business.

Russian e-commerce market is highly fragmented compared to other international countries which creates substantial opportunity for market consolidation and market share gains for leading multi-category marketplace players.

Research methods and sources of information:

Monitoring data from 5000 media, more than 30 thousand investment projects, a survey of thousands of representatives of leading Russian companies, materials of the Central Bank of Russia, the Federal State Statistics Service, the Ministry of Economic Development of the Russian Federation, the Federal Agency for Construction and Housing, the Agency for Housing Mortgage Lending, the Ministry of Regional Development of the Russian Federation, the Ministry of Construction of the Russian Federation, the UN’s Comtrade Database, the portal of the Presidential Administration, the data of the Fund for Assistance to the Reform of the Housing and Communal Services under the auspices of the Russian Ministry of Energy, the Federal Customs Service, the common interdepartmental information and statistical system, the Russian Public Opinion Research Center, the US Department of Agriculture (USDA), etc.

IFRS and RAS reports filed by international and Russian companies;
regularly updated INFOLine’s analytical databases;
results of the key industry forums and conferences;
materials of corporate websites, press releases, interviews with business leaders;
INFOLine’s database: “Investment projects and engineering in the oil and gas industry of the Russian Federation”, “Investment projects in the industrial construction of the Russian Federation”, “Investment projects in civil construction of the Russian Federation”, “Investment projects in transport construction of the Russian Federation”;
materials from 5000+ Russian media (federal and regional press, news agencies, electronic media), as well as the industry press.
Russian construction industry.
The Results of 2020 and Trends for 2021. Forecast up 2023
Release date: 30.06.2021
Languages: Russian, English
Number of pages: 103
Format: hard and soft copy
Price: 150 000 rub.
Purpose of the Research:
  • Analysis of the state of the whole industry and its segments separately by type of facilities under construction (housing, industrial, infrastructure and commercial construction).
  • Rating of developers in terms of housing commissioning, rating of retail real estate developers.
  • Identification and description of major investment projects.
  • Overview of the construction dynamics and the vector of industry development by describing milestones.
  • Presentation of state regulation.
  • Analysis of the building materials industry (single-piece wall materials, non-metallic materials, cement and other materials).
Relevance of the Research

The construction industry is currently facing a number of new challenges including a regulatory change, investment outflow and an investment pause in a number of segments. By 2015, having reached the maximum rates for real estate commissioning (nearly 140 mln sq.m of the total area where over 83 mln sq.m was residential real estate), in 2016-2017 the construction industry faced investment outflow, gradually exhausted the previously formed groundwork and moved from strong growth to neutral-negative dynamics. During this period, negative trends were noted in most segments including housing, commercial and industrial construction.

2018-2019 were largely a turning point for the construction industry. In the housing construction segment, a new concept for the transition from shared construction to project financing was developed and approved. In the medium term it will become a determining factor for the industry and will have a great impact on its development. In the commercial construction segment, against the backdrop of continued high demand for logistics facilities, investment activity in the construction of new modern shopping malls is recovering: construction of previously frozen projects in the regions resumes and new facilities are laid in cities with population over one million people. In transport construction, such large infrastructure projects are implemented and prepared as the reconstruction of the Baikal-Amur Mainline and the Trans-Siberian Railway, construction of high-speed rail lines, etc.

In order to be aware of all trends and understand the situation in the construction industry, as well as identify key possible points of growth, we offer you our new Study "Construction Industry of Russia. Results of 2018 and Trends of 2019. Prospects for Development until 2021". This Study will help you determine the position of your own company in the industry and outline possible ways of business development in 2019-2021.

Research Advantages.

In addition to a detailed analysis of the industry condition, you will find in the Research:

  • Several custom ratings compiled by INFOLine analysts:
  • INFOLine BUILDING RUSSIA TOP-10 Rating according to the results of 2019
  • INFOLine DEVELOPER RUSSIA TOP-10 Rating according to the results of 2019
  • Description of major ongoing projects in housing, commercial, industrial and transport construction
  • Comprehensive analysis of key industry events and regulatory changes
  • Information on the dynamics of the building materials market and market surveys of major suppliers.
TRANSPORT INDUSTRY IN RUSSIA
The Results of 2020 and Trends for 2021. Forecast up 2023
Release date: 30.06.2021
Languages: Russian, English
Number of pages: 168
Format: hard and soft copy
Price: 150 000 rub.
Purpose of the Research:
  • Analysis of the status and development prospects of the transport industry as a whole and by individual transport modes (rail, water, road, air)
  • Description of milestones in the transport industry by market segments, companies
  • Rating of railway companies in terms of traffic volume and fleet in the management, rating of ports by cargo turnover, rating of airlines by goods and passenger transport
  • Analysis of regulatory changes, trends in government regulation of the transport industry
  • Identification and description of major investment projects in the transport industry
  • Description of key market players
  • Preparation of a scenario forecast for the transport industry development.
Relevance of the Research

The Russian transport system is one of the longest in the world, but its significant drawback is its radial nature, which has formed historically due to the political development of the country as a highly-centralized state. The insufficiently favorable layout of waterways, relative remoteness of building stone deposits from populated areas (to create horse-drawn and motor roads), long distances, and complete nationalization of the economy in the USSR contributed to the hypertrophied role of Russian railways at the expense of other transport modes.

The state of the transport industry is closely interconnected with the situation in other industries — e.g. the production dynamics of cargo-generating industries significantly affect the dynamics of freight transportation — and with macroeconomic events. For example, sanctions imposed against Russia in 2014 affected the transportation market, and, the market of refrigerated food transportation from Europe was disproportionately badly affected by the food embargo. At the same time, the volume of transportation to the countries of the Customs Union and Asia has significantly increased. Transport companies were forced to intensely optimize transportation costs and logistics costs under new conditions. The structure of transport and logistics flows has changed: it has become more profitable to use road transport instead of rail in some areas or sea transport instead of air transport in others. In 2017, intensified coal exports determined the dynamics of rail transport shipments. The growth in coal and grain exports in 2017 had a positive effect on the dynamics of dry cargo transshipment in Russian seaports. In 2018, the growth trend of loading and cargo turnover on the Russian Railways network, primarily coal, ferrous metals, timber cargo and grain, continued.

In order to analyze the state of the transport industry and understand the path along which it will develop further, we conducted an extensive study of the industry covering all its segments. The proposed product can help you determine the position of your own company regarding the industry dynamics and outline possible ways of business development.

Research Advantages:

In addition to a detailed analysis of the industry condition, you will find in the Research:

  • Innovative format of electronic presentation
  • Structured description and analysis of trends and prospects for the transport industry development in Russia
  • Custom ratings compiled by INFOLine analysts:
  • INFOLine Rail Russia TOP Rating in terms of traffic and fleet in management
  • Port rating by freight turnover
  • Ratings of airlines on the transportation volume of goods and passengers
  • Company profiles for TOP-10 operators of railway rolling stock (UCL Rail, FFC, Globaltrans, NefteTransServis, Transoil).
AGRICULTURAL COMPLEX OF RUSSIA
The Results of 2020 and Trends for 2021. Forecast up to 2023
Release date: 30.06.2021
Languages: Russian, English
Number of pages: 136
Format: hard and soft copy
Price: 150 000 rub.
Purposes of the Research:
  • insights into the state of affairs in the agricultural industry as a whole and individual segments (meat, dairy, grain and oil, vegetables, etc.);
  • description of landmark events in the farming industry by market segments and companies;
  • analysis of changes to the government regulation of the industry (adoption and entry into force of key regulatory documents);
  • identification and description of the biggest M&A;
  • identification and description of the major investment projects across the industry segments;
  • review of exports/imports and global activities of the industry’s players;
  • ranking big-league food companies in Russia by financial performance;
  • analysis of business performance by industry players
Relevance of the Research

Russia’s agricultural industry faces a period of fast-paced growth. The food embargo, ruble devaluation and strong government support spurred business development in the farming and food industry.

Russian manufacturers continue ramping up own production, both in their usual and in new categories, taking niches previously occupied by imports. In addition, the weak ruble makes Russian goods lucrative and competitive in foreign markets, opening up new opportunities for domestic enterprises. Besides traditional export categories, such as grain and sunflower oil, domestic producers have embarked on sugar and poultry exports. Russian farms have increased their share in the export of grains in the global market in 2017 beating out the United States and coming out on top in the world in terms of volume.

The volume of agricultural production nudged down 0.6% in 2018 year-on-year.

According to preliminary figures, Russia’s gross harvest amounted to 112.9 million tons of grain (weight after refinement) in 2018 (-16.7% year-on-year). A steep drop in the crops was due to the bad weather and tough targets (last season’s crops hit an all-time high).

As of the end of December 2018, all country’s farms, according to preliminary data, had 18.1 million cattle (-0.8% year-on-year), of which 7.9 million were cows (-0.4%), 23.7 million – pigs (+2.9%), 22.9 million – sheep and goats (-6.1%)

Research Advantages:

In addition to a detailed analysis of the development of the industry, you will find in the Research:

  • a number of original expert ratings;
  • insights into the rollout of upgrade and construction projects at livestock farms, greenhouse facilities, granaries, etc.
  • insights, market survey of big-league FMCG suppliers.
FOOD AND BEVERAGE PRODUCTION
The Results of 2020 and Trends for 2021. Forecast up to 2023
Release date: 30.06.2021
Languages: Russian, English
Number of pages: 163
Format: hard and soft copy
Price: 150 000 rub.
Purposes of the Research:
  • insights into the state of affairs in the food industry in general and by segments (meat, fish, fat and oil, milk, flour, confectionery, grain, pasta, sugar, beverages, tea and coffee, tobacco);
  • review of food manufacture, sales and consumption trends, industry’s development trends by describing flagship events;
  • analysis of changes to the government regulation of the industry (adoption and entry into force of key regulatory documents);
  • identification and description of the biggest M&A;
  • identification and description of the major investment projects across the industry segments;
  • review of exports/imports and global activities of the industry’s players;
  • analysis of new products launched on the Russian market;
  • insights into the current trends in the food market;
  • ranking big-league food companies in Russia by financial performance;
  • analysis of business performance by industry players.
Relevance of the Research:

Food production in Russia faces a period of fast-paced growth being one of the drivers of industrial manufacture throughout the last 5 years. Due to the food embargo imposed in 2014, Russia has rebuilt its imports and keenly focused on developing its food and processing industry.

The challenging macroeconomic situation weakened the ruble: capitalizing on this, domestic food manufacturers jump-started to fill vacant internal market niches and expand across the border, which spurred the growth of the whole industry. However, the weak ruble took its toll on the price of foreign equipment and raw materials, which skyrocketed for Russian producers and heavily affected the final costs of goods for Russian consumers.

In follow-up of 2018, the food production grew by 4.9% in like-for-like prices, and beverage production – by 2.6%. The food manufacture growth was driven by the increasing sources of raw materials, the put-in-place food embargo, and more competitive prices for domestic products in the national and global markets. The upward trend for the beverage market is linked with the growing brewing, mineral/drinking water and soft drink manufacture spurred by the hot summer and the World Cup hosted by the country. In addition, 2.6% recovery in the retail turnover in Russia had a positive impact on the industry.

To obtain in-depth insights into the state of affairs in the industry and understand how and in which areas it will develop further, we have conducted comprehensive research of the food industry and the food market.

With the help of the offered product, you will be able to determine the position of your company regarding the dynamics of the industry and outline possible ways of business development.

Research Advantages:

In addition to a detailed analysis of the development of the industry, you will find in the Research:

  • a number of original ratings by INFOLine experts;
  • insights into upgrade and construction projects of food industry enterprises;
  • insights into the food market trends;
  • insights, market survey of big-league FMCG suppliers.
RUSSIAN FUEL AND ENERGY COMPLEX
The Results of 2020 and Trends for 2021. Forecast up to 2023
Release date: 30.06.2021
Languages: Russian, English
Number of pages: 163
Format: hard and soft copy
Price: 150 000 rub.
Purposes of the Research:
  • Analysis of the status and development trends for the fuel and energy complex as a whole and for industries (oil, gas, coal, electricity).
  • Ratings of companies by oil production and refining, gas production and processing, coal mining, as well as a rating of generating companies by electricity production.
  • Description of the dynamics and development trends in the fuel and energy sector by describing its milestones.
  • Identification and description of major ongoing investment projects.
  • Presentation of state regulation.
Relevance of the Research

In 2018, the fuel and energy complex of Russia reached record performance indicators: the volumes of production and export of oil, gas, coal and electricity hit many years' highs. Significant changes have occurred in the field of state regulation (completion of the tax maneuver in the oil industry, changes in the rules of the wholesale market for electric energy and capacity). Despite the limitation of oil production in the transaction with OPEC in the first half of the year, investment activity in all sectors of the fuel and energy sector is growing: implementation of projects for the development of new fields, shelf exploration and production continue amid restrictions on the import of equipment and technologies due to sanctions. However, US sanctions introduced in August 2018 covering the Russian oil refining industry for the first time caused risks for many refinery modernization projects relying on imported technologies. The study characterizes the production, financial and investment indicators of industries and companies in the fuel and energy sector in dynamics, describes key investment projects and aggregates milestones (mergers and acquisitions, commissioning of production facilities, international projects, resignations and appointments) in the oil, gas, coal and electric power industries. Based on these data, a forecast is formed for the development of the fuel and energy complex of the Russian Federation and separately the oil, gas and coal industries, as well as the electric power industry for the period up to 2021. The research results are effectively used by leading energy and engineering companies, as well as banks and leasing companies for strategic and operational planning, as well as for industry analysis.

Research Advantages:

The study carried out a detailed analysis of business activity in the fuel and energy complex, and also formed:

  • 10 ratings - ratings of companies in each industry compiled by INFOLine analysts: in oil production and refining, in gas production and processing, in coal mining and in electricity production.
  • 100 investment projects -
  • Descriptions of major ongoing industrial projects in the field of oil production, transportation and refining (they include Vostochno-Messoyakhskoye field development by the joint venture of Oil Company Rosneft PJSC and Gazprom Neft PJSC, Filanovsky field development by LUKOIL PJSC, Transneft PJSC pipeline projects and refinery reconstruction).
  • Descriptions of major ongoing industrial projects in the gas industry (construction of the Sila Sibiri gas pipeline, Yamal LNG plant, etc.).
  • Descriptions of major ongoing industrial projects in the coal industry (construction of new open-pit mines by SUEK, EVRAZ, Coal Company Sibirskaya JSC, etc.).
  • Descriptions of the major ongoing industrial projects in the electric power industry (construction of the Kursk NPP-2, Ust-Srednekanskaya hydroelectric station, wind farm in Adygea, etc.).
  • 13 company profiles - information on the performance of industry leaders.
Food retail in Russia
Results of 2020 and trends of 2021. Development prospects till 2023
Release date: 30.06.2021
Languages: Russian, English
Number of pages: 150
Format: hard and soft copy
Price: 150 000 rub.
Purposes of the Research:
  • FMCG Retail Industry Overview
  • FMCG retailer rating by revenue, number of retail properties, volume of selling space and formats
  • Overview of the industry development vector by describing its milestones
  • Industry development forecast
  • Scenario forecast for the Food retail market development
  • Analysis of the activities of the industry leaders
  • Analysis of consumer behavior
  • Review and analysis of state regulation.
Relevance of the Research

The retail market mainly depends on the purchasing power of the population. The industry situation worsened significantly after the macroeconomic events of 2014, sharp ruble weakening and food embargo introduction. In 2018, real cash incomes of the population again showed a reduction, and the model of consumer behavior changed from saving to lean consumption. In addition, convenience and time saving have become one of the consumers' priorities, which stimulates the development of e-Commerce (delivery services) and negatively affects traffic and sales in hypermarkets. On the Food Retail market, the largest development is gained by retail chains selling goods at a price close to the wholesale, namely, discounters, with federal chains having the highest rates. Thus, discounters are the most dynamically growing format. The ongoing reconstruction programs can improve the perceived quality of the service provided. Moreover, the market has a high level of retail chain consolidation. It significantly increases the threshold for entering the industry, leads to large-scale promotional activities, and, as a result, negatively affects the profitability of retailers and suppliers. In order to understand what the pace of retail market recovery is and what to expect in the future, we conducted a comprehensive study of the industry, covering all its segments. The proposed product can help you determine the position of your own company regarding the industry dynamics and outline possible ways of business development.

Research Advantages:
  • Innovative format of electronic presentation.
  • Structured description and analysis of trends and prospects for the FMCG market development in Russia.
  • Scenario forecasts for industry development up to 2022 prepared by INFOLine specialists.
  • Development forecasts of leading FMCG chains.
  • Market survey of leading FMCG suppliers: results of 2019, forecast for 2020.
  • The basis of the study is the annually updated and replenished database of over 1,000 leading retail chains in Russia in various areas of trade; during the year, analysts non-stop collect, aggregate, verify and analyze the operational and financial indicators of Russian retail companies.
  • FMCG retail chain ratings (TOP-10) by financial and operational indicators.
  • FMCG retail chain ratings (TOP-5) by trade formats (hypermarket, supermarket, discounter, convenience store, specialized chains (alcohol and meat products segments).
Non-Food retail and consumer market of Russia
Results of 2020 and trends of 2021. Development prospects till 2023
Release date: 30.06.2021
Languages: Russian, English
Number of pages: 100
Format: hard and soft copy
Price: 150 000 rub.
Purposes of the Research:
  • Review of the performance of the industry as a whole and its certain segments (DIY&Household and furniture, household appliances, computer equipment and mobile devices, fashion and children's goods, cosmetics and drogerie, pharmacies, online trading).
  • Ratings of retailers by revenue, number of retail properties, volume of selling space for each of the segments (DIY&Household and furniture, household appliances, computer equipment and mobile devices, fashion and children's goods, cosmetics and drogerie, pharmacy segment, online trading).
  • Overview of the industry development vector by describing the key events.
  • Industry development forecast.
  • Scenario forecast for the development of the Non-Food retail market.
  • Analysis of consumer behavior.
  • Review and analysis of state regulation.
Relevance of the Research

The retail market mainly depends on the purchasing power of the population. The industry situation worsened significantly after the macroeconomic events of 2014, sharp ruble weakening and food embargo introduction. Until mid-2017, retail sales fell in both the food and non-food segments, after which the market began to recover. In 2018, real cash incomes of the population again showed a reduction, and the model of consumer behavior changed from saving to lean consumption.

In non-food retail, there has been a partial transition to Internet sales. Many stores create online versions for selling products on the Web. Some brands appear immediately on the Internet. Online stores where customers can purchase products from different companies are also created. The World Wide Web is attractive to the Russian retail market with unformed legislation regarding taxation, the absence of the need to purchase and rent spaces and reduced human resources, which allows virtual stores to lower the price of the product itself. The number of orders in foreign online stores by Russians, especially in Chinese and Korean, is also growing.

In order to understand what the pace of retail market recovery is and what to expect in the future, we conducted a comprehensive study of the industry covering all its segments. The proposed product can help you determine the position of your own company regarding the industry dynamics and outline possible ways of business development.

Research advantages
  • Innovative format of electronic presentation.
  • Structured description and analysis of development trends and prospects on certain markets (DIY&Household and furniture, household appliances, computer equipment and mobile devices, fashion and children's goods, cosmetics and drogerie, pharmacy segment, online trading).
  • Scenario forecasts of non-food retail development up to 2021 prepared by INFOLine.
  • Coverage not only of retailers developing traditional trading formats, but also of leading online representatives.
  • The basis of the study is the annually updated and replenished database of over 1,000 leading retail chains in Russia in various areas of trade; during the year, analysts non-stop collect, aggregate, verify and analyze the operational and financial indicators of Russian retail companies.
  • Ratings of retail chains (TOP-10) by financial and operational indicators for retail segments (DIY&Household and furniture, household appliances, computer equipment and mobile devices, fashion and children's goods, cosmetics and drogerie, pharmacy segment, online trading).
  • Information about TOP chains leading in the Non-Food retail segments (Leroy Merlin, Fix Price, IKEA, retail direction of SAFMAR, GK, DNS, Sportmaster, Detsky Mir, Protek, GK , L'Etoile , Wildberries, Ozon, AliExpress, Yandex.Market Group).
About agency
The presentation adout INFOLine

For over 20 years INFOLine has been conducting daily monitoring and obtaining insights into the Russian economy and its individual segments. INFOLine agency has extensive experience in monitoring media, possesses unique software and facilities for dealing with any information flows. Every day the agency’s staff processes more than 20,000 materials on corporate business operations in Russia and globally. INFOLine's customers enjoy a full scope of industrial information.

INFOLine has prepared over 1000 initiative and custom-made studies about transport, construction, retail, fuel and energy, machine building, etc. The number of INFOLine's users and partners exceeds 3000 Russian and international companies.

The research is based on a common methodology and structure helping not only to obtain detailed insights within the same industry, but also to review and compare the indices of cross-industry development.

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The comments of our customers

Галина Ящук, Директор по маркетингу
Азбука Вкуса

Компания «Азбука Вкуса» благодарит коллектив информационного агентства INFOLine за плодотворное сотрудничество в сфере аналитики по FMCG ритейлу. Наша компания приобретает обзор INFOLine c 2014 года. Каждый год мы получаем полную и достоверную информацию по розничной отрасли. Отдельно стоит отметить, что агентство INFOLine очень серьезно и ответственно относится к срокам выполнения задач и формированию ответов на запросы. От лица нашей компании выражаю Вам признательность за честные и добросовестные взаимоотношения и атмосферу взаимопонимания, которая сложилась между нашими компаниями. Будем рады дальнейшему плодотворному сотрудничеству.

Галина Ящук
Директор по маркетингу
Азбука Вкуса

А.Д. Бисикало, Заместитель Генерального директора ООО «ЭМ ЭЙЧ АЙ РУС» ООО «ЭМ ЭЙЧ АЙ РУС», компания группы Мицубиси Хэви Индастриз Лтд., выражает благодарность команде агентства INFOLine за профессионально выполненную работу по заказному исследованию в области нефтегазового сектора.

Проведенное исследование было выполнено точно в соответствии с заданием и полностью отразило необходимый объем информации и глубину анализа рынка. Хотели бы также особо отметить своевременную сдачу и качественный перевод на английский язык.

Надеемся на дальнейшее плодjтворное сотрудничество на постоянной основе. взаимоотношения и атмосферу взаимопонимания, которая сложилась между нашими компаниями. Будем рады дальнейшему плодотворному сотрудничеству.

А.Д. Бисикало
Заместитель Генерального
директора ООО ЭМ ЭЙЧ АЙ РУС

Банк России выражает благодарность информационно-аналитическому агентству INFOLine и в особенности генеральному директору Ивану Федякову за актуальное и содержательное выступление на открытии круглого стола в Банке России, где обсуждались вопросы развития розничной торговли.

Советник экономический
Департамент исследований и прогнозирования Банка России

С.Н.Ставцев Директор по внешним связям Группы Благо Группа Благо выражает благодарность ООО ;ИНФОЛайн за высокий уровень информационной и консалтинговой поддержки, оказываемый на протяжении нескольких лет.

ИА ИНФОЛайн имеет достаточно профессиональных компетенций для предоставления современной и актуальной информации об агропромышленном комплексе России. Отдельно хотелось бы отметить высокий уровент работ, проведенных специалистами в рамках подготовки Исследования и ряда Аналитических записок о состоянии масложировой промышленности РФ. Хочется отметить комплексный подход при выполнении поставленных задач, высокую квалификацию и профессионализм специалистов ИНФОЛайн.

С.Н. Ставцев
Директор по внещним связям
Группы Благо

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